News & Views

Special Market Update

Market volatility continues as expected but there are some very positive signs coming out of Europe and the US. This should go a long way towards bringing some stability and confidence in global share markets which we expect would have a direct influence on our markets in Australia.


The EU / IMF financial “bailout” package is proceeding and once in place will not only have the ability to provide ad hoc funding but also to participate in secondary markets and provide long term, low interest loans to members of the EU. Following recent talks, the leaders of Germany, France and Greece have provided assurances that Greece intends to pursue austerity measures to deal with its debt position and the EU will support it through this process. Five of Europe’s major banks have also issued a statement to the effect that they will continue to support Greece. This is all promising but there is still a long way to go to resolve these issues and there is no guarantee that Greece may not default in some way in the future.


In the USA, President Obama has announced a plan to stimulate jobs through a series of targeted tax cuts and incentives. He also announced a plan to develop infrastructure projects to provide additional employment opportunities and has appealed to his parliamentary colleagues to bury their differences and support the package for the good of the country.


These are all very positive developments with a high likelihood of finally dousing the flames of fear that have been enveloping the markets. The consensus outlook for world growth is positive with Europe expected to lag the rest of the world for some years.


We remain very positive about the prospects for strong recovery in the Australian share market on the basis of low price to earnings ratios and high dividend yields. We expect a revival of positive sentiment in both the domestic and business sectors in Australia with interest rates expected to remain on hold for some considerable period well into 2012. We expect the property sector to consolidate and plateau for some time and the retail sector to improve markedly as confidence grows.


We keep reiterating the need to keep faith with investment strategies, look through the market noise and concentrate on the fundamentals. We believe that this  philosophy will once again prove to be successful.


 
 
 

Posted: 19th September 2011
Written By: John Hewison CEO
Special Market Update

 

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